Date: Fri, 30 Oct 98 13:37:59 EST From: return31@yahoo.com To: shawn555@msn.com Subject: Market Timing Message-ID: <359DFE77.4AC9@erols.com>
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October 29, 1998 Market Timing Table of Contents 1. Market Commentary 2. USDI - a player in the IRIDIUM Satellite project 3. NLAB update 4. Departments 1. MARKET COMMENTARY As predicted in our last issue the US equity markets have stabilized and begun to head higher again. Asian markets have had a nice rebound and some currencies have begun to strengthen against the US dollar. Hong Kong continues to show some weakness, but these problems can probably be traced back to the actions of the Chinese government in Beijing. During the last week European markets have also begun to move higher once again. Against this backdrop and more importantly to our subscribers, there is a groundswell of interest and commentary developing in and about the "small cap" sector of the market. The Russell 2000 small cap index has moved from a low of 303.87 in the first week of October/98 to close on October 23/98 at 367.05. This is an increase of over 17% in 2 weeks. We believe the market is entering a phase where interest will begin to increase in this long neglected sector of the market. There are excellent investment grade and speculative opportunities in this area, which have long been overlooked by the institutional money managers with their fixation on the Dow 30 stocks. The DOW is now beginning to look, if not a little tired, at least fully valued. The fund managers are now going to have to go to work and find new areas in which to deploy their client's money. Leverage is a bad word on Wall Street these days and without leverage these managers are stuck with relatively low returns in the bond and money markets (under 5% on 30 year US treasury bills). It is our feeling this will result in more money flowing into the smaller cap sector of the market - and remember - with the huge amount of money now in mutual funds and the market in general, it only takes a relatively small reallocation of assets by market participants, to have a substantial impact on the price of these smaller company's shares. 2. US DIGITAL COMMUNICATIONS INC. (USDI) We are profiling a new company in this issue of MT: US Digital Communications Inc. Symbol: USDI Trades: OTC BB USDI is a proxy for one of the biggest events in the evolution of wirelesses communications the IRIDIUM Global Communications System. USDI in conjunction with its subsidiaries SKYSITE (http://www.skysite.com), INSAT and PROJECT 77 (http://www.project77.com), is a supplier of both the Motorola and Kyocera telephones and pagers and a resellers of air time for the IRIDIUM network. As such, expect to see their revenues and profits grow in lock step with the growth of the overall satellite network. The IRIDIUM satellite phone system consists of 66 low-level satellites, which completely cover every point of the planet. This $5 billion dollar investment allows any point or individual on earth to access telephone, data transfer or paging service. The 19 members of this consortium, which has been spearheaded by Motorola, include some of the largest telecom companies in the world, as well as a number of very large Middle Eastern, Asian and South American private investment companies. The financial commitment is very large and IRIDIUM (http://www.iridium.com) will go into service November 1, 1998. The "start" date for IRIDIUM service is one of the reasons that we are bringing this company to your attention now. As you can see if you look at a chart of the stock (http://www.bigcharts.com) the USDI's share price peaked at $7.00 in early July of this year, in what we believe was anticipation of the original service commencement date of September 23, 1998. When it became obvious this date was going to be pushed back to November 1, momentum was lost by the stock. It then bottomed out on October 8 at $2.30. In the last week it has moved back to close on Friday (Oct 23) at $3.93 up 7/8s of a point or 28.5% for the day on 366,200 shares traded! See the October 23 USDI News Release at: http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/981023/dc_fcc_us__1.html The IRIDIUM name will be on a lot of peoples "radar" screens soon as a $100 million public relations, marketing and advertising program will help launch this service. This is definitely a "timing" and "momentum" play and there is no doubt that the very wealthy and smart companies and individuals that are part of the IRIDIUM consortium are going to work hard to make this THE wireless network of the future. Given the momentum that is building in the stock, USDI could easily see its old high of $7.00 between now and shortly after startup of the IRIDIUM service in the next week. Depending on a stable market and some positive news, which we fully expect, and given the sophistication of the underwriters and companies behind the IRIDIUM project, USDI prices above $10 are quite possible over the next 90 days. 4. NUONCOLOGY LABS UPDATE NuOncology Labs Inc. (NLAB - OTC BB) continues to make progress on its business plan and have announced the opening of their new offices, predictive oncology testing and research building in Houston TX. (See October 15th News Release at: http://biz.yahoo.com/n/n/nlab.html). This new facility is capable of performing testing to the rate of 1000 comprehensive predictive profiles per month. MT heard NuOncology is planning a road show in Europe that will include NLAB management starting early in November. These "show and tell" meetings are intended to attract additional funding, market sponsorship as well as institutional and broker interest for NLAB. We expect soon after this trip there will be further word on the Arglabin/FTI issue by way of publication of their research in a recognized medical journal. In addition there will be more results coming on the second large sample of patients who have been undergoing treatment for various types of cancer with Arglabin. The share price has fallen on relatively small volume and somewhat tracks the skittish market we have had for the last 2 months. It would not be inconceivable that this market rebounds right back to the $6.50 range in a day or two of trading - especially if there is some further news on the use of Arglabin as a successful cancer therapy. REMEMBER this is not a theoretical concept NLAB is working on - people ARE BEING TREATED with ARGLABIN today and their CANCERS ARE IN REMISSIOIN. This company has the potential to be a $500 million - $1 Billion cap company and we believe you will begin to see some recognition of this in the marketplace BEFORE THE END OF NOVEMBER. For a current quote on NLAB please go to: http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=nlab&d=d1 DEPARTMENTS A. Stock Quotes B. How to Unsubscribe to MT C. Disclaimer A. STOCK QUOTES For stock quotes on any company please go to: http://www.bigchart.com B. HOW TO UNSUBSCRIBE TO MT Please note, as per your request you are a subscriber to MT. If at any time you wish to unsubscribe please put 'unsubscribe' in the subject of your e-mail and return to: newsletter@premiumservice.com MT respects your privacy and will NEVER release your e-mail address to a third party for any reason. D. DISCLAIMER: By being a subscriber you are acknowledging you have read and fully understand our disclaimer below. MarketTiming (hereafter called MarketTiming) is an independent electronic publication devoted to providing information and factual analysis on selected companies that in the opinion of MarketTiming have investment potential. Companies featured by MarketTiming may have paid MarketTiming or their affiliates the editor or the editor's affiliates family or agents for the dissemination of company information through MarketTiming. MarketTiming and/or its affiliates or principals may have been paid in cash, stock or stock options to disseminate information about the companies it has featured. 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