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Date:      Sat, 6 Jun 1998 18:45:32 -0600 (MDT)
From:      Jawaid Bazyar <bazyar@hypermall.com>
To:        inet-access@earth.com
Cc:        inet-access@earth.com, linuxisp@friendly.jeffnet.org, freebsd-isp@FreeBSD.ORG, iap@vma.cc.nd.edu
Subject:   Re: US West and RADSL (fwd)
Message-ID:  <Pine.LNX.3.91.980606183913.22709A-100000@hypermall.com>
In-Reply-To: <Pine.BSI.3.93.980606162546.13151F-100000@sidhe.memra.com>

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On Sat, 6 Jun 1998, Michael Dillon wrote:

> Wait a sec. What if the customer is paying $120/month for that circuit on
> a 3 year contract? The $2k port cost is paid for in just under 18 months
> and the next 18 months is profitable. Now what if you are buying 100 of
> these Pairgain type thingies? I think most ISPs could negotiate some sort
> of discount based on that quantity.

Ahh, well the assumption I was making was for "consumer" service. That 
market just won't respond to $120/mo. Much of it doesn't want to pay the 
$40/mo US West wants for a DSL-enabled line.

I went through the business case, and in sufficient quantity I can 
actually amortize the CO-end DSL equipment at $15/month/port over 3 
years. But that's just the equipment - not the interconnects.
 
> > Alright, the Denver metro area as an example has approximately 30 central 
> > offices. Instantly, in order to reach the whole potential customer base, 
> > you're looking at $300,000. Just in equipment.
> 
> Sounds like a job for your local neighborhood bank. They love to finance
> equipment purchases by established profitable companies with a steady
> growth curve and a stable customer base.

Anyone that can talk a bank into that, I will give them nothing but 
encouragement.
 
> In some cities you may be able to tie together the COs with your own RADSL
> circuits. http://www.westell.com/products.html

That would be interesting.
 
> Depends on a lot of things including the DSL gear that you use. HDSL works
> on less lines than ADSL and CAP modulation works on more lines than DMT
> modulation. It also depends on the copper plant. Some cities are better
> than others. 

Right. My point is that US West providing this service is GOOD for ISPs, 
especially small ones, because it enables them to provide a service they 
simply couldn't otherwise.

Whereas a lot of people are complaining that US West providing this 
service is BAD for ISPs.
 
> You are making a lot of assumptions about the business model here that I
> don't think are justified. 

Well, the assumptions I used are valid in the Denver market. :)  YMMV.

> Yes it is true that you can't fling ADSL at the
> customer base and expect enough of it to stick. You need to plan carefully
> and for smaller ISPs it will not be possible to do anything other than be
> a DSL-enabled ISP of one of the LECs. But some people will be able to make
> a business case for supplying DSL service from just one CO.

That's very true, and there's nothing stopping anyone from doing that as 
far as I know.

--
 Jawaid Bazyar              |   Affordable WWW & Internet Solutions
 Interlink Advertising Svcs |   for Small Business
 bazyar@hypermall.com       |   910 16th Street, #1220    (303) 228-0070
 --The Future is Now!--     |   Denver, CO 80202          (303) 789-4197 fax


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