From owner-freebsd-chat Wed Jul 21 9:51:59 1999 Delivered-To: freebsd-chat@freebsd.org Received: from lariat.lariat.org (lariat.lariat.org [206.100.185.2]) by hub.freebsd.org (Postfix) with ESMTP id 8224615527 for ; Wed, 21 Jul 1999 09:51:51 -0700 (PDT) (envelope-from brett@lariat.org) Received: from mustang.lariat.org (IDENT:ppp0.lariat.org@lariat.lariat.org [206.100.185.2]) by lariat.lariat.org (8.9.3/8.9.3) with ESMTP id KAA06810; Wed, 21 Jul 1999 10:50:11 -0600 (MDT) Message-Id: <4.2.0.58.19990721103838.04392f00@localhost> X-Sender: brett@localhost X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.0.58 Date: Wed, 21 Jul 1999 10:45:59 -0600 To: dg@root.com From: Brett Glass Subject: Re: poor ethernet performance? Cc: Tani Hosokawa , freebsd-chat@FreeBSD.ORG In-Reply-To: <199907210046.RAA17978@implode.root.com> References: Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Sender: owner-freebsd-chat@FreeBSD.ORG Precedence: bulk X-Loop: FreeBSD.org At 05:46 PM 7/20/99 -0700, David Greenman wrote: > If you're talking about free software, then Linux has been out for two >years longer than FreeBSD. Current market indicators have Linux about 4 times >larger installed base than FreeBSD, with both growing at a rate of >approximately 2X per year. Let's suppose, for a minute, that these numbers were accurate (although there is strong evidence that they aren't). It would mean that the gap between Linux and FreeBSD would DOUBLE every year, eventually causing Linux to leave FreeBSD in the dust. However, in a real-life ecosystem, where growth cannot go on forever, a fixed ratio is not sustainable. What ultimately happens, in any ecosystem (but especially in software ecosystems) is that the species with a marked advantage crowds out the other. Each time the gap between Linux and FreeBSD doubles, more application developers desert FreeBSD and go to Linux -- for good. This drives the installed base of FreeBSD down, so that the ratio stops being 2:1 and becomes 3:1, 4:1, etc. There is evidence that this is already happening. FreeBSD is already losing share, and the Linux:BSD ratio is increasing. Vendors such as Xig are dropping FreeBSD support, and no major ones are adding it. --Brett Glass To Unsubscribe: send mail to majordomo@FreeBSD.org with "unsubscribe freebsd-chat" in the body of the message