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Date:      Wed, 20 Apr 2016 10:23:31 +0100
From:      Matthew Seaman <matthew@FreeBSD.org>
To:        freebsd-questions@freebsd.org
Subject:   Re: Raid 1+0
Message-ID:  <5027ef1b-fd33-5e07-3a8d-fe0ce9732b29@freebsd.org>
In-Reply-To: <44a8kpcm14.fsf@be-well.ilk.org>
References:  <571533F4.8040406@bananmonarki.se> <57153E6B.6090200@gmail.com> <20160418210257.GB86917@neutralgood.org> <64031.128.135.52.6.1461017122.squirrel@cosmo.uchicago.edu> <20160419153824.7b679129f82a3cd0b18b9740@sohara.org> <40267.128.135.52.6.1461098148.squirrel@cosmo.uchicago.edu> <44a8kpcm14.fsf@be-well.ilk.org>

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From: Matthew Seaman <matthew@freebsd.org>
To: freebsd-questions@freebsd.org
Message-ID: <5027ef1b-fd33-5e07-3a8d-fe0ce9732b29@freebsd.org>
Subject: Re: Raid 1+0
References: <571533F4.8040406@bananmonarki.se> <57153E6B.6090200@gmail.com>
 <20160418210257.GB86917@neutralgood.org>
 <64031.128.135.52.6.1461017122.squirrel@cosmo.uchicago.edu>
 <20160419153824.7b679129f82a3cd0b18b9740@sohara.org>
 <40267.128.135.52.6.1461098148.squirrel@cosmo.uchicago.edu>
 <44a8kpcm14.fsf@be-well.ilk.org>
In-Reply-To: <44a8kpcm14.fsf@be-well.ilk.org>

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On 04/19/16 22:43, Lowell Gilbert wrote:
> Correlation is not causation.
>=20
> It's not a big stretch to imagine that two nearly identical mechanical
> devices, operated in nearly identical conditions, might wear out in a
> nearly identical way at about the same time. There is no need for one
> drive to affect the other.

Interestingly this argument is quite a bit stronger when applied to
SSD's rather than spinning disk drives.  SSDs we know have a limited
number of refresh cycles for any one memory cell.  As members of a RAID
array, they're going to see very similar patterns of activity over their
lifetimes, so they're actually quite likely to wear out at a similar time=
=2E

> A fair number of people believe that this in fact occurs. I've looked
> for evidence on the subject, and I haven't found anything (beyond
> anecdotes) for or against the possibility.

Mechanical drives are a lot more affected by external differences like
vibration or temperature changes, which will act to increase the
variability in their lifetimes.  SSDs are intrinsically /more/ reliable
during their working life, but their lifetime tends to come to a much
more sharply defined end.

	Cheers,

	Matthew (who has been spending far too much time going to the
datacentre to replace drives recently.)





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