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Date:      Fri, 24 Mar 1995 08:35:53 -0500 (GMT-0500)
From:      "Serge A. Babkin" <babkin@hq.icb.chel.su>
To:        chuckr@Glue.umd.edu (Chuck Robey)
Cc:        freebsd-hackers@FreeBSD.org
Subject:   Re: Why IDE is bad
Message-ID:  <199503241335.IAA00423@hq.icb.chel.su>
In-Reply-To: <Pine.SUN.3.91.950323151619.13833B-100000@cappuccino.eng.umd.edu> from "Chuck Robey" at Mar 23, 95 03:18:17 pm

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> On Thu, 23 Mar 1995, Joe Greco wrote:
> 
> > > > 4) writing the disk more may wear it out faster.
> > > 
> > > Now there's one for the books! :-)
> > 
> > With an 800,000 hour MTBF, I think that enough years will
> > have passed that even if I reduce the lifetime of the 
> > disk by 75%, I'll be too old and grey to care when it
> > dies.  (yes I am sure the original comment was to see if
> > we were all awake  :-)  but it's a good point).
> 
> I did once see someone wipe a disk clean, by doing continuous 
> read/write/read cycles on it.  The first disk went in 3 months, then 
> three months later the second disk (and the programmer, by the way) 
> went.  So I think it can happen, but probably not with the kinda load we 
> see. 

Some information for everybody who thinks that MTBF is equal to the lifetime:

Take an experiment. We take a number of devices and begin to exploit it.
We remember when every unit dies until all of them are dead. Then we
plot a graph. This graph will be like this (plotted by *s):


% dead
       ^
100%   |                                              * 100%died
       |                                             *
       |                                            *
       |                                          *
   / --|----------------------------------------*
B _|   |                           *            |
   |   |             *                          |
   \ --|------*                                 |
       |    * |                                 |
       |  *   |                A                |
       | *    | _______________|_______________ |
       |*     |/                               \|
  0    +------+---------------------------------+----------------->
              |        time of work             |              time
          time of                           lifetime
      manufacturer's tests
      and free repair

MTBF is measured at time of work when the curve is near linear by
dividing A by B:

MTBF=A/B

Therefore MTBF 800,000 hours doesn't means that HDU will work 800,000 hours
before a failure, it only means that if lifetime is near 10,000 hours then
near 1/80 of all sold HDUs will die before reaching the lifetime.

I'm sorry if I had translated some terms to english wrong.


		Serge Babkin

! (babkin@hq.icb.chel.su)
! Headquarter of Joint Stock Bank "Chelindbank"
! Chelyabinsk, Russia




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