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Date:      Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:39:57 -0500
From:      dkelly@hiwaay.net
To:        chat@FreeBSD.ORG
Subject:   Re: Linux vs. the rest of the world, poor OS comparison on web page 
Message-ID:  <199710150539.AAA22275@nospam.hiwaay.net>
In-Reply-To: Message from "Jordan K. Hubbard" <jkh@time.cdrom.com>  of "Tue, 14 Oct 1997 21:14:30 PDT." <13401.876888870@time.cdrom.com> 

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> > Must be.  I got a reply, which I will share when I have time to
> > investigate it.  As justification, he pointed to
> > http://leangen.uninett.no:29659/, which shows 52334 users and 22401
> > machines registered.  He has already moderated his claim to 5,000,000
> > users.  Let's see, according to jkh, there are 13505 registered
> > FreeBSD system.  Assuing a linear interpolation, this means that there
> > must be 3,000,000 FreeBSD users.  Not bad, eh?
> 
> Yeah, current count is now 13887 users.  You should tell that we've
> got almost 15000 registered systems but don't see how one can come
> even close to 3 million uses as a result.  I still want to see his
> metrics. :-)

Be sure to count the users of Yahoo! and ftp.cdrom.com in your tallies.
Start with a reasonable 0.1 multiplier as BSDi uses, but then how many 
unique users 1000 (or whatever) simultaneous user 24 hour average work 
out to be? Add that to the 15000 registered users, multiply by a 
percentage of a percentage correction factor derived from the Linux 
site. And eventually you can prove FreeBSD has more users than earth 
has humans.  :-)

Write it up correctly and http://www.improb.com/ will publish it.

I've heard of a book or booklette named, "How to Lie With Statistics". 
Does this book really exist? If so, where could I find one?

--
David Kelly N4HHE, dkelly@hiwaay.net
=====================================================================
The human mind ordinarily operates at only ten percent of its
capacity -- the rest is overhead for the operating system.





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