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Date:      Sat, 6 Jun 1998 23:45:26 -0700 (PDT)
From:      Michael Dillon <michael@memra.com>
To:        inet-access@earth.com
Cc:        linuxisp@friendly.jeffnet.org, freebsd-isp@FreeBSD.ORG, iap@vma.cc.nd.edu
Subject:   Re: US West and RADSL (fwd)
Message-ID:  <Pine.BSI.3.93.980606233233.13151K-100000@sidhe.memra.com>
In-Reply-To: <Pine.LNX.3.91.980606183913.22709A-100000@hypermall.com>

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On Sat, 6 Jun 1998, Jawaid Bazyar wrote:

> Ahh, well the assumption I was making was for "consumer" service. That 
> market just won't respond to $120/mo. Much of it doesn't want to pay the 
> $40/mo US West wants for a DSL-enabled line.

Really? I know of an ISP in a market of population 17,000 that has a
waiting list of 80 customers that want ADSL to the home. The monthly rate
they are charging works out to US$40. Right now they are hooking up small
business customers with ADSL which is why there is a waiting list for the
consumer service. When you look at the monthly rate that people will pay
for cable TV service, I don't think it will be that hard to sell a lot of
"always-on" Internet connections. ADSL is sometimes a bit faster than
a modem link for regular browsing but not that much unless you run a proxy
cache; then it will speed up significantly. But the always-on capability
means that people can have ICQ running all the time or run a personal
webserver etc.

> Whereas a lot of people are complaining that US West providing this 
> service is BAD for ISPs.

US West providing the service is good for ISPs. US West blocking anyone
else's access to copper so they can run a competing service is bad for
ISPs. Substitute your local ILEC for US West if you are elsewhere.

> > You are making a lot of assumptions about the business model here that I
> > don't think are justified. 
> 
> Well, the assumptions I used are valid in the Denver market. :)  YMMV.

Yup. And your mileage might vary if you revise your strategic plan and
look at the business case from a different angle. The market for Internet
access is growing and will continue to grow for many more years. Somebody
is going to be providing DSL to 90%+ of the homes in your city one day and
you might as well try to get a chunk of that business. After all, who has
the better expertise to do this than the ISPs who have been providing
Internet access for the past four years. All you need is the capital to
expand so that you can afford to wait 3 to 5 years for break even. 

3 years ago the future was a lot murkier than it is today and that means
it is time to shop for investment capital.

--
Michael Dillon                 -               Internet & ISP Consulting
Memra Communications Inc.      -               E-mail: michael@memra.com
http://www.memra.com           -  *check out the new name & new website*



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