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Date:      Mon, 28 May 2001 14:30:35 -0400
From:      "Pedro F. Giffuni" <pfg1+@pitt.edu>
To:        Fredrik Olausson <fredrik@speechcraft.com>
Cc:        freebsd-chat@FreeBSD.ORG
Subject:   Re: The desktop apathy
Message-ID:  <3B12994B.7C9E0674@pitt.edu>
References:  <Pine.LNX.4.21.0105280801390.142-100000@molly.telia.com>

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I think they are trying hard to solve all they problems with a magic
wand, ignoring how they got into that situation in the first place.

The idea is making Windows OS and office fully integrated in a way
that you will not be able to work without paying them monthly fees.
Actually, more than the expected revenue, one of the key factors to
understand is the trial: they want to make a division impossible or
perhaps irrelevant. What I think is broken in their strategy is that
people don't want computers only to be on the Internet, and there's
where Apple may shine.

Even with all these nonsense critics Apple has received, it is clear
(for me) that the "Opensource community" (if such a beast exists) is
embracing Apple. Most of the projects out there are pushing ports to
MacOS X: Mozilla, Staroffice, OpenAFS, UDI and there's already Qt. I
think if the BSDs hang together with Apple we could see many
benefits...

My forecast:
1) Linux PPC will be completely out of the markey by both Mac OS X and
the native BSDs (which have been consistently server oriented up till
now but will become somewhat better desktops).
2) Darwin for Intel ushered by the BSDs will gain more strength.
3) Growing interest opens the door for  Mac OS X on Intel (highly
unexpected but the possible revenue might be high enough).
4) Mac OS X jumps from 20% to 40% while Microsoft is trying to clean
their act from the dot net fiasco.

A time frame is tough...maybe 5 years, maybe more :).

	Pedro.

Fredrik Olausson wrote:
> 
> > Rahul Siddharthan wrote:
> > FWIW, I also
> > think Apple has a good chance now that MS is screwing up with their
> > .net strategy.
> 
> Speaking of which, isn't "dot net" the perfect example of Microsoft
> extending its influence of the desktop to the server market? While the
> whole concept seems ludicrous to me, all of the sudden everyone is talking
> about Soap, C# and .net (and I still have nightmares about the pointy
> haired bosses sending me off on a C# bootcamp ;)
> 
> -Fredrik
> 
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